A firm’s perspective on econophysics-based currency risk analysis Cover Image

A firm’s perspective on econophysics-based currency risk analysis
A firm’s perspective on econophysics-based currency risk analysis

Author(s): Paweł Fiedor, Artur Hołda
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Keywords: risk; exchange rate; predictability; econophysics

Summary/Abstract: In this article the authors presents an approach to quantifying currency risk based on the methodology of econophysics. This article continues the authors’ study into the currency risk, this time simplifying it for the purpose of rendering it useful for companies without technical abilities. A method of analysing the dependencies between currencies based on correlations is introduced to facilitate the analysis of currency risk involved in being exposed to one or more foreign currencies. Also a model estimating a risk-free horizon is introduced and tested against price formation models and empirical data from FX markets.

  • Issue Year: 2014
  • Issue No: 4 (21)
  • Page Range: 92-107
  • Page Count: 16
  • Language: English