Analiza de intelligence la orizontul anului 2020: perspectiva comunităţii de informaţii a Statelor Unite ale Americii
Analysis of intelligence by 2020: the perspective of the intelligence community of the United States of America

Summary/Abstract: The profession of intelligence analysis faces major challenges deriving from a rapidly changing security and intelligence environment. In this context, it is the responsibility of intelligence organizations to create an environment that provides access to traditional and new analytic tools, fosters effective and rapid learning, rewards innovation, and promotes critical thinking. The aim of this paper is to make a synthesis of the results of the Future of Intelligence Analysis Project, an eighteen-month study of the Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland, realized by analysts and managers of the United States Intelligence Community and experts from NGOs. The project was focused on intelligence analysis and organized its research around the themes of analyst education, recruitment, training, management, organization and retention. The authors used the year 2020 as a notional date of reference because individuals currently entering the analytic workforce will be seasoned analysts of that moment. The main conclusion of the report was that, if current practices continue, the Intelligence Community of 2020 will experience an imbalance between the demand for effective overall intelligence analysis and the outputs of its various analytic communities. In order to provide the analytic outputs that the coming environment will require, the study calls for an integrated analytical culture and establishing the basis for the profession of intelligence analyst across the Intelligence Community.

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