Технологическая близость и макрорегионы: Россия и Китай в структуре евразийской экономики
Technological Proximity and Macro-Regions: Russia and China in the Structure of the Eurasian Economy

Summary/Abstract: Amid tightening trade restrictions and increasing geoeconomic fragmentation, the global economic structure is transforming, while the role of macro-regional blocs is growing in prominence. The resilience of these blocs hinges on trade volumes, the compatibility of production systems, resource availability, and the existence of an independent financial infrastructure. This study aims to shed light on the structural foundations necessary to form a Eurasian macro-region and to clarify how Russia and China fit into this framework. Technological proximity among 80 countries was evaluated using the OECD’s unified input–output tables, which cover 55 industries. In the assessment, normalized intermediate input profiles were compared. The indicator’s dynamics were traced over 1995–2022. The resulting estimates were cross-referenced with a national power index for 193 states, derived through multivariate statistical analysis. From 1995 to 2020, the median technological proximity coefficient remained largely stable, fluctuating within the 0.619–0.641 range. In 2022, it roseto 0.715. This increase likely reflects the structural adjustments that the global economy has been undergoing in response to crises, rather than a durable trend toward global convergence. The analysis revealed a European industrial core, an Asian production network centred on China (with particularly strong linkages to the Republic of Korea and the Socialist Republic of Vietnam), and the structurally autonomous position of the United States. Russia has the highest level of technological compatibility with industrial Europe and occupies an intermediate position between the emerging economic poles. According to the national power index, China ranks first, the United States second, and Russia third. To advance Russian–Chinese cooperation in Greater Eurasia most effectively, it is essential to strengthen industrial collaboration, capitalize on resource complementarities, deepen investment ties, and establish independent settlement mechanisms. These findings can be usedto assess the resilience of macro-regional blocs and to identify priority areas for Russian–Chinese partnership.

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