Can we predict high growth firms with the financial ratios?
Can we predict high growth firms with the financial ratios?

Summary/Abstract: This study attempts to predict high growth firm (HGF) status with financial ratios. Measures related to the firm’s effectiveness in using assets to generate profits, EBITDA margin, debt ratio, equity-to-debt ratio and return on assets are associated with HGF status. While the financial ratios improve HGF prediction, prediction remains modest (AUC = 0.627). This study suggests it is difficult to assume a very good HGF forecast from only financial ratios; therefore, the recommendation for researchers and policymakers building models for predicting HGFs is to incorporate non-financial ratio variables, like the intangible innovation and team-related variables. Finally, study suggests a standardized reporting of prediction performance metrics in the out-of-sample and out-of-time simulation for HGF prediction studies.

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