A MULTIDIMENSIONAL QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF LABOR MARKET DYNAMICS IN TÜRKIYE: METHODOLOGICAL DIVERGENCES, HUMAN CAPITAL BOTTLENECKS, AND SPATIAL INEQUALITIES
A MULTIDIMENSIONAL QUANTITATIVE ASSESSMENT OF LABOR MARKET DYNAMICS IN TÜRKIYE: METHODOLOGICAL DIVERGENCES, HUMAN CAPITAL BOTTLENECKS, AND SPATIAL INEQUALITIES

Summary/Abstract: This study provides a multidimensional quantitative examination of the Turkish labor market. The primary objective is to evaluate the structural efficiency of employment by analyzing the statistical gap between official headline unemployment figures and broadly defined labor underutilization. Utilizing a descriptive statistical framework, the research analyzes 2024 cross-sectional data alongside historical time-series data sourced from the Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK) and the International Labour Organization (ILO). Empirical data reveals significant statistical divergences. While historical headline rates showed declines to 9.4% in 2023, the broad unemployment rate (labor slack) reached 26.7% in 2024, creating an 18.0 percentage point gap. Youth unemployment remains structurally high at 16.3%, with a persistent gender gap (22.3% for female youth vs. 13.1% for male youth). Spatial analysis identifies severe polarization, with unemployment peaking in the TRB2 region at 19.2%. Standard indicators mask structural fragilities such as informal employment and human capital mismatch. Effective mitigation necessitates data-driven Active Labor Market Policies (ALMPs) and targeted regional investments.

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