REVISITING THE OIL PRICE–INFLATION NEXUS IN MENA ECONOMIES: EVIDENCE FROM A NONLINEAR ARDL APPROACH Cover Image

REVISITING THE OIL PRICE–INFLATION NEXUS IN MENA ECONOMIES: EVIDENCE FROM A NONLINEAR ARDL APPROACH
REVISITING THE OIL PRICE–INFLATION NEXUS IN MENA ECONOMIES: EVIDENCE FROM A NONLINEAR ARDL APPROACH

Author(s): Tarek Sadraoui, Hela Mili
Subject(s): Business Economy / Management, Energy and Environmental Studies, Environmental and Energy policy, International relations/trade
Published by: Oikos institut-Istraživački centar Bijeljina
Keywords: Oil Prices; Inflation; MENA Region; Non-Linear ARDL; Energy Economics;

Summary/Abstract: This research investigates the role of financial development in mitigating the adverse effect of economic vulnerability on economic growth across African countries. Based on data from 42 African nations between 1990 and 2023, the study identifies three basic findings. Firstly, financial development is good for economic growth, largely due to the benefits of improved economic policies undertaken in the early 2000s. Second, economic vulnerability continues to exert a strong negative influence on growth. Third, the financial development -vulnerability interaction coefficient indicates a weak butpositive influence on growth, suggesting that financial systems served a buffering role against adversity from both the external and internal environment. Overall, the results highlight the necessity for stronger financial institutions and markets to act as a buffer against adversity to bring about more resilient and sustainable growth in the continent.

  • Issue Year: 14/2026
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 97-109
  • Page Count: 13
  • Language: English
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