A MODEL FOR EVALUATING THE BANKRUPTCY RISK OF THE ROMANIAN COMPANIES5 Cover Image

A MODEL FOR EVALUATING THE BANKRUPTCY RISK OF THE ROMANIAN COMPANIES5
A MODEL FOR EVALUATING THE BANKRUPTCY RISK OF THE ROMANIAN COMPANIES5

Author(s): Daniel Carciumaru
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Editura Universitaria Craiova
Keywords: score function; bankruptcy risk; financial ratios; discriminant analysis

Summary/Abstract: The paper presents a score function elaborated in order to evaluate the bankruptcy risk of the Romanian industrial companies. For this purpose, I have used a 152 industrial companies sample, listed on Rasdaq, divided into 83 non-bankrupt companies and 69 bankrupt. The data comprised a 4 year retrospective period, between 1999 and 2002. The score function, elaborated using the discriminant analysis, has six ratios and has accuracy in predicting the failure of 89.29%, which is considered to be quite high, very closed to the similar models from the specialized literature.

  • Issue Year: 2010
  • Issue No: 14
  • Page Range: 35-40
  • Page Count: 6
  • Language: English