The Crisis in Russia-Azerbaijan Relations as an Indicator of the Kremlin's Loss of Positions in the South Caucasus: Causes, Course, Consequences Cover Image

Криза відносин росія-Азербайджан як індикатор втрати кремлем позицій на Південному Кавказі. Причини, перебіг, наслідки
The Crisis in Russia-Azerbaijan Relations as an Indicator of the Kremlin's Loss of Positions in the South Caucasus: Causes, Course, Consequences

Author(s): Volodymyr Kopchak
Subject(s): Political Sciences, Recent History (1900 till today), International relations/trade, History and theory of political science, Comparative politics, Geopolitics
Published by: RUTA, z.s.
Keywords: Russia-Azerbaijan relations; South Caucasus; Nagorno-Karabakh; Kremlin; Geopolitics; International Relations; Armenia; Turkey; Air defense incident; Conflict resolution;

Summary/Abstract: This scholarly article analyzes the deterioration of relations between Russia and Azerbaijan, arguing that it reflects a broader decline in Russia's influence in the South Caucasus. The author examines the causes of this crisis, tracing it back to Azerbaijan's victory in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war and subsequent normalization of relations with Armenia and Turkey, undermining Russia's strategic leverage in the region. The shooting down of an Azerbaijani passenger plane by Russian air defenses and subsequent events are cited as key turning points, highlighting Russia's unwillingness to accept responsibility and Azerbaijan's escalating responses. The article further discusses the implications of this crisis, including the potential for increased US involvement in the region and the long-term prospects for a normalized relationship between Russia and Azerbaijan.

  • Issue Year: 2025
  • Issue No: 01+02
  • Page Range: 33-39
  • Page Count: 7
  • Language: Ukrainian
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