Revisiting the role of exchange rate volatility in Turkey’s exports: Evidence from the structural VAR approach Cover Image

Revisiting the role of exchange rate volatility in Turkey’s exports: Evidence from the structural VAR approach
Revisiting the role of exchange rate volatility in Turkey’s exports: Evidence from the structural VAR approach

Author(s): Ozge Baris-Tuzemen, Samet Tüzemen
Subject(s): Economy, National Economy, Financial Markets, Socio-Economic Research
Published by: Економски факултет Универзитета у Београду
Keywords: exchange rate volatility; exports; SVAR; structural breaks; Turkey

Summary/Abstract: The exchange rate is both an important economic variable when determining a country’s export volume and an indicator of its international competitiveness. This paper re-investigates the impact of real exchange rate volatility on Turkey’s exports using the structural vector autoregression method and monthly data from 2003:01 to 2019:12. Empirical evidence shows that real exchange rate and exchange rate volatility do not affect exports in Turkey. On the other hand, external income has had a slight effect on Turkey’s exports in the post-global-crisis period. The findings show that other factors which effect macroeconomic indicators in the Turkish economy should also be considered.

  • Issue Year: 66/2021
  • Issue No: 231
  • Page Range: 127-150
  • Page Count: 34
  • Language: English
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