SOCIO-EKONOMSKA BUDUĆNOST EVROPSKE UNIJE - PROŠIRENJE ILI SLOM
SOCIO-ECONOMICFUTURE OF EU? ENLARGEMENT ORCOLLAPSE?

Summary/Abstract: This article is about the history of the development of the EU. It is an attempt, based on the data from last years, to show and predict the socioeconomic future of the EU as well as the enlargement possibilities on other countries such as Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Iceland and Turkey. These are our findings: the citizens of the EUare mostly worried about the future price rising/inflation, unemployment, economics situation in the country, taxes and home economics. Secondly, the majority of Slovenians would still, after10 years of EU membership vote of the membership. 46 % of respondents would vote for (in 2003 there were 89,64 %), 35 % would vote against. In our opinion the possible with drawl from the EU would be completely absurd and would probably mean the economic collapse of Slovenia. It is also our calculation that the EU is definitely going to enlarge, even though it might have its own problems (the two main problems would be the rising public debt and Unemployment in some of the countries). Based on current facts the countries Serbia and Montenegro are very close to become the members of the EU. This enlargement is only the question of time, which mostly depends on the political will of those countries and of course the political will of the EU. According to public opinion and the current situation in Slovenia (rising public debt, each Slovenian owes 14.000 euros, rising number of unemployed, rising prices), this country is among all members of the EU the only one to cope with the declining living conditions. Based on the analysis of time types and the linear trends we came to results that the unemployment rate, public debt (in the whole world, too) and inflation in years 2014 and 2015 are going to rise, which means lower quality of life for people in the EU. The consequences of the crisis on the economy are going to be the most visible in 2014 and 2015. If we face the collapse of the EU (only 49 % of the citizens of EU-27 are optimistic about the future EU), even though it is not likely to happen, it would mean »the complete decadence of the old continent«.

• Details
• Contents