ANALYSIS OF MIGRATION TO
TURKEY THROUGH
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS:
EVIDENCE FROM THE PERIOD
2004-2024
ANALYSIS OF MIGRATION TO
TURKEY THROUGH
MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS:
EVIDENCE FROM THE PERIOD
2004-2024
Author(s): Hasan Tutar, Hakan Tahiri Mutlu, Nadire Kantarcıoğlu, Marta Łakomy-ZinowikSubject(s): Migration Studies, Socio-Economic Research, Asylum, Refugees, Migration as Policy-fields
Published by: Fundacja Centrum Badań Socjologicznych
Keywords: migration movements; Turkish economy; economic growth; unemployment; hight inflation;
Summary/Abstract: This study investigates the effects of migrationto Turkey between 2004 and 2024 on macroeconomicindicators such as growth, unemployment, and inflation.Turkey, which has experienced significant migrationwaves throughout history due to its geopolitical location,has hosted millions of migrants, especially since theSyrian civil war began in 2011. The data used in thisresearch were obtained from the Turkish StatisticalInstitute (TURKSTAT), the World Bank, the Presidencyof Migration Management, and the InternationalMonetary Fund (IMF). The findings of the analysis showthat there is a bidirectional causality between migrationand economic growth and that there is a bidirectionaleffect based on low wages and informal work in theemployment market. The research findings also showthat migrant labor suppresses wages and increasesunemployment, and the informal economy expands,thus limiting growth in the long term. Although theinflation effect has increased demand pressure throughmigrants' basic needs, it is understood that this situationis mainly due to market imbalances. The researchfindings also found that migration significantly impactsTurkey's macroeconomic indicators.
Journal: Economics and Sociology
- Issue Year: 17/2024
- Issue No: 4
- Page Range: 257-271
- Page Count: 15
- Language: English
