The Course of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland in Relation to the Level of Sustainable Development – Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Analysis
The Course of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland in Relation to the Level of Sustainable Development – Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Analysis

Summary/Abstract: Motives: This article explores the relation between the course of the COVID-19 pandemic and thelevel of Sustainable Development of Polish counties. First, the data was collected to describe the levelof Sustainable Development in terms of Social, Environmental and Economical indicators. In thesecond step, using data regarding the number of COVID-19 cases and the number of deaths causedby the pandemic, a regression model was built using Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression(MGWR).Aim: Authors decided to create a comprehensive model of the level of Sustainable Development.This approach made it possible to analyze the relations between the level of Sustainable Developmentand the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as provided an opportunity to address theindividual components of the model.Results: The values of the coefficient of determination of the regression model indicate a high and veryhigh fit. The MGWR model also made it possible to develop maps of local R-Squared values. Thesemaps, by exploring spatially varying relationships between variables, further allowed to identify localanomalies of the phenomenon.

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