Measures of cohort fertility in Bulgaria
Measures of cohort fertility in Bulgaria

Summary/Abstract: This research work represents a multifaceted and detailed study of the changes observed in the age-specific fertility model in Bulgaria over the last few decades. The focus here is on the cohort approach, because cohort fertility in our country has not been studied since the middle of the last century, and the transition to birth postponement can be clearly captured and measured precisely from a cohort perspective. This study deals with identifying the course of transition to birth postponement, its beginning and current stage of development, all this based on data analysis. The scale and influence of delayed births on the observed low fertility during the last three decades in Bulgaria was assessed in a cohort and period perspective. We focused some of our efforts on making a forecast of the levels of completed cohort fertility rate for women of the generations born before 1990 in Bulgaria who are still within fertile age.

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