DIŞ TİCARET VE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLİŞKİSİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ (2001-2020)
THE RELATIONSHIP OF FOREIGN TRADE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE CASE OF TÜRKIYE (2001-2020)
Author(s): Beyhan Hilal Yaslıdağ, Abdul Wahab HamdardSubject(s): National Economy, International relations/trade, Economic development, Transformation Period (1990 - 2010), Present Times (2010 - today)
Published by: Sanat ve Dil Araştırmaları Enstitüsü
Keywords: Economic Growth; Exports; Imports; Granger Causality Test; VAR analysis;
Summary/Abstract: This study is to investigate the relationship between Turkey's foreign trade and its economic growth (gross domestic product per capita). Annual statistics of the research between 2001-2020. The variables of the research include gross domestic product (GDP), exports and imports. Excel and Eviews statistical analysis program were used in the analysis of the data. In the first step, data stationarity was tested, then the lag length was determined. Afterwards, the Johansen cointegration and error correction model between the variables is tested. Finally, Granger Causality between variables was applied based on the VAR model. The results show that the short-term and one-way relationship between GDP and exports is significant and the amount of exports increases with the increase in GDP. In the long run, she found a unidirectional relationship between imports and GDP.
Journal: Ulakbilge Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi
- Issue Year: 11/2023
- Issue No: 86
- Page Range: 549-568
- Page Count: 20
- Language: Turkish