The Course of Tax Revenue During the Process of Population Aging: Empirical Evidence from Turkey Cover Image

The Course of Tax Revenue During the Process of Population Aging: Empirical Evidence from Turkey
The Course of Tax Revenue During the Process of Population Aging: Empirical Evidence from Turkey

Author(s): Ali Gökhan Gölçek, Bilal Göde
Subject(s): Economic policy, Demography and human biology, Public Finances, Fiscal Politics / Budgeting
Published by: Ahmet Arif Eren
Keywords: Aging Population; Tax Revenue; Turkey; ARDL; FMOLS;

Summary/Abstract: Societies undergo continuous socio-economic transformations. One such significant change is the aging of the population, which carries substantial economic and social implications. This study examines the impact of population aging on tax revenues in Turkey, utilizing data spanning from 1971 to 2020. The ARDL cointegration analysis and the FMOLS long-term cointegration estimator were employed for the research. Contrary to the prevailing literature, the analysis results indicate a positive correlation between aging and tax revenue. Specifically, a 1% rise in the median age leads to a 2.71% increase in the share of tax revenues as a percentage of GDP.

  • Issue Year: 7/2023
  • Issue No: spec. 1
  • Page Range: 614-640
  • Page Count: 27
  • Language: English