La crise ukrainienne et le rôle futur de la Pologne en Europe
The Ukrainian crisis and Poland’s future role in Europe

Summary/Abstract: Poland, in the face of the Russian offensive in Ukraine, has become a frontline country, but also a key strategic platform for the United States, NATO and its major European partners to provide military assistance to Kiev. The military reinforcement of NATO’s eastern flank, which can now be taken for granted, will give Poland greater weight in NATO. What implications does this have for the Alliance’s overall strategy? If NATO can consolidate its position in the Baltic Sea with Sweden and Finland, the same cannot be said a priori about the Black Sea, given Turkey’s ambiguous role. What role can Poland play in both cases? Warsaw has brought the United States even closer militarily, to the extent that they consider Poland their main anchor on the continent, not even completely excluding the possibility of its participation in the nuclear sharing program. Poland’s quest to win its rightful place in the new European equilibrium as a major EU player will require clarification of what its future contacts with the European Commission and with key European partners, France and Germany, including the future of the Weimar Triangle.

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