Will China Take Over the World in the Middle of the 21st Century? Cover Image

Will China Take Over the World in the Middle of the 21st Century?
Will China Take Over the World in the Middle of the 21st Century?

Author(s): Józef M. Fiszer
Subject(s): National Economy, Economic policy, Government/Political systems, International relations/trade, Security and defense, Political behavior, Comparative politics
Published by: Instytut Studiów Politycznych PAN
Keywords: China; United States; Russia; foreign policy; hegemon; control; competition; analysis; contemporary world; international relations;

Summary/Abstract: The subject of this article is China and the analysis of its chances of gaining the status of the number one superpower in the world by the middle of the 21st century. I try to answer two fundamental questions here: Will China take over the world in the middle of the 21st century and will the United States and its allies allow this to happen? I try to answer these in both theoretical and utilitarian terms. I refer to several research theories, including the theory of equilibrium support and George Modelski’s long cycle theory. Above all, I refer to the theory of the state’s foreign policy, the theory of classical realism and the theory of hegemonic change. I use a comparative method and a critical discourse analysis, among others. The main hypothesis of the article is the conclusion that the United States is slowly losing its position as a global hegemon in the international arena, which strengthens China’s chances of achieving its strategic goal in international politics, which is to take over the world by the mid-21st century. However, this will not be an easy task. It will depend on many factors, including the internal situation in China and the policy of the United States and its allies towards Chinese aspirations, as well as Russia’s position on this issue, which is already competing with China’s growing influence in the world. China may also join forces with Russia and collectively deprive the United States of its hegemonic status. On the other hand, there is a tendency in political science to assume that Russia-China relations are a balancing alliance for the United States. However, this practice may verify the overall Russia-China relations in favour of the United States, thanks to which it will manage to maintain control over the world and defend its status as a hegemon in the international arena.

  • Issue Year: 50/2022
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 11-34
  • Page Count: 24
  • Language: English