Controversies regarding the utilization of Altman model in Romania Cover Image

Controversies regarding the utilization of Altman model in Romania
Controversies regarding the utilization of Altman model in Romania

Author(s): Dan Lupu, Mihaela Onofrei
Subject(s): Economy
Published by: Editura Tehnopress
Keywords: bankruptcy; prediction model; Bucharest Stock Exchange

Summary/Abstract: Altman model was built for U.S. companies, based on the characteristics of that economy. Promising results were obtained in other countries such as Britain, Australia, Canada, Finland, Germany; the percentage is over 80% predictibility. However, as it can be seen, they have an Anglo-Saxon legal system and also the economic environment is highly developed. While there is no reason why this model can be applied to companies in the whole world, we recognize that each has its own peculiarities economic environment, therefore, local model forecast could be better than American models, at least in their testing phase. But the utilization of Altman model is suitable for the Romanian economy? Taking this into account, the purpose of this paper is to test the Altman model on the Romanian market.

  • Issue Year: 2012
  • Issue No: 1
  • Page Range: 33-42
  • Page Count: 10
  • Language: English