Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups
Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups
Author(s): Stanisław Jaworski, Zofia Zielińska-KolasińskaSubject(s): Gender Studies, Labor relations, Demography and human biology, Human Resources in Economy
Published by: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
Keywords: employment rate; exponential smoothing; forecasting; state space approach;
Summary/Abstract: Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo simulation based on the class of exponential smoothing models. The research presents a pessimistic prognosis of employment rates in European countries with respect to young and partly to older workers.
Journal: Statistics in Transition. New Series
- Issue Year: 22/2021
- Issue No: 4
- Page Range: 213-225
- Page Count: 13
- Language: English